Pat Brown : Motorsport Quadruple Murders.

Eight years ago on November 6, 2003 four people were gunned down in cold blood in Chesnee, South Carolina in the middle of an ordinary work day at the Superbike Motorsports, a shop that sold motorcycles. The murdered were the owner, Scott Ponder, his mother Beverly Guy, his best friend and right hand business man Brian Lucas, and a new employee who was cleaning up bikes in the back, Chris Sherbert. Someone came into the business shot them all dead in the middle of the day when there were no witnesses in the building to identify the shooter.

Zero progress has been made in solving this crime. Why? In my opinion, not because it is unsolvable or difficult to solve or because that one person won't come forward and identify himself (the man police claim is the key to the crime, in fact, the man they claim is involved in the crime, the man they have been showing a composite of, albeit now an altered composite, for year upon year). It won't be solved because the police refuse to believe the evidence in front of them or refuse to investigate it for some reason. I know because I spent a week in Spartanburg Country, South Carolina working with the Sheriff's department, going through the files, analyzing every photo and bit of evidence, and running an experiment to test how long it took to drive from the shop to a convenience store that would help rule in or rule out one suspect. I have read all the interviews....read more

http://patbrownprofiling.blogspot.com.es/2012/05/criminal-profiling-topic-of-day-second.html

 

Isabel Celis: 911 Call - Statement Analysis.

The following is Part One of  Statement Analysis of the 911 call made by Sergie Celis to report his daughter, Isabel Celis, 6, missing.  Statement Analysis is in bold type. 

 What to look for in 911 calls?  Follow the principles of Statement Analysis, noting the research done into domestic homicide 911 calls done by Dr. Susan Adams.  

 Operator:  911 What is your emergency?

 Celis:  Hello.  I need to report a missing child  I believe she was abducted from my house. 

1.  Please note that the 911 calls of domestic homicides research shows that guilty callers often begin with a greeting.  The study (by Dr. Adams) showed that in guilty callers contacting 911, the call did not begin with an urgent cry for help, but a greeting instead.  Here, Sergio Celis begins with a greeting, which is casual, and, given the age of the child, and circumstances of the call, is highly unusual.  Parents of missing children are in a panic and immediately demand help. 

Note also that Dr. Adams found that guilty callers sometimes did not ask for help specifically for the victim, but sometimes for their own selves. 

 2.  Note that he reports her as a "child" here,  without using her name.  Note that she is "a" child, not his.  The lack of emphasis likely was felt by the operator. Please note that "child" is associated with child abuse and risk.  "a" missing child is any missing child, not his.  This is unusual. 

3.  Note he asserts belief that she was abducted.  This is an usual term, instead of kidnapped or taken.  He does not say why he chose this word (or topic) rather than just that she is missing, or wandered off.  "Abducted" sounds more like something from a television show rather than the cry of a desperate father unwilling to admit to an "abduction."  
This is critical because he is asserting "abduction" from the beginning, yet he and his wife refused, for 5 days, to address the abductors, or address their child.  An "abduction" is a crime that is planned out and for a purpose.  

 4.  We note that he did not use her name which may indicate distancing language by him, from Isabel.  



911 Operator:  What makes you think she was abducted?

 Sergie Celis:  "I have no idea.  We woke up this morning and went to go get her up, start her baseball game and she's gone. I woke up my my sons, I, we, looked everywhere in the house and my oldest son noticed that her window was wide open and the screen was laying in the back yard.  We've looked all around the house.  My son...

Deception detected. 

The change of pronouns show that he is not working from experiential memory.  Pronouns are instinctive and humans do not make mistakes between "I" and "we"; having spoken pronouns millions of times. 

Even to the untrained, the casual sound of his voice, coupled with the greeting, will show that this is not a kidnapping. 

Sergie Celis is later heard lightly chucking on the call while his daughter is missing. 

Other things to look for:

On the 911 call, does the caller ask specifically for help for the victim?

Does the caller disparage or blame the victim?

Does the caller use the words "I'm sorry" anywhere in the call?

 The tone of voice is something TV commentators will jump on, but it is the language is the most important thing.  He may sound like he is ordering lunch from a drive in, but it is the words he used which show deception.  He may attempted to sound 'confident' in the wake of the nervousness of lying, but people can, and do fake hysteria.  

"We will never give up; we will never give up looking for you." Sergie Celis. 

This shows no expectation of success; the very opposite of natural denial found within parents. 

http://seamusoriley.blogspot.com.es/2012/05/statement-analysis-isabel-celis-911.html

Isabel Celis : 911 Call - Sergio Is Deceptive.

Comments picked up from poster VITA

From LE transcript

Sergio calling 911

Even the 911 Operator is stunned by Sergio said to her, that she stumbles over the word abducted.
The combination of his tone and he not being upset and then using the scariest word to Happen to a child.

911OP: Why do you think she as abdupted (ph) abducted?

I am going to break his words into split sentences. His first words said to the 911 Operator. In his call his first words to report a missing person, he sounds like he is ordering a Pizza.

When the 911op does not react in alert, Sergio changes. He then begins to speak at a rapid pace.
Firing off the information below.

SC: I have no idea.

We woke up this morning

and went to get her up

start her baseball game

and she's gone

I woke up my, my sons

I, we, looked everywhere

in the house and

my oldest noticed

that her window was wide open

and the screen

was laying in the backyard

We've looked all around the house

**this why the 911OP says next
***911OP: Okay hang on

She cannot keep up with his rapid fire, she knows she has to slow him down, to gain his information.
He keeps talking, he does not pause,

SC: are running, yeah, my sons

are running, around the house

looking for her

remove her 911: Okay Hang On

He does not stop, his complete said

I, we, looked everywhere

in the house and

my oldest noticed

that her window was wide open

and the screen

was laying in the backyard

We've looked all around the house

are running, yeah, my son (sons)

are running, around the house

looking for her...read morehttp://seamusoriley.blogspot.com.es/2012/05/sergio-celis-deceptive-911-call.html

Isabel Celis : Pat Brown On Becky Celis.

Pat Brown, profiler and author, on JVM show last night, regarding Becky Celis, referenced Statement Analysis.  Pat Brown continues to be the voice of reason on the talk show circuit.  She never expresses false hope, and does not side with emotion. She is logical when she speaks and is a breath of fresh air on these shows.

But let me tell you what I think is really interesting. If you do a little statement analysis on what the mom says. She said "We`re confident we had nothing to do with this." Now, you either had nothing to do with this but you`re not usually confident you had nothing to do with this. So that added word "confident" means to me that she is not confident that they didn`t have anything to do with this, which means I wonder that she does wonder something about her husband as well. 

When someone says that they are "confident" it shows weakness. If you had nothing to do with this, you would have no need to express confidence.  Marv Albert expressed confidence in his innocence right before pleading guilty.  Confidence entertains a possibility that something may not work out. 

I am confident that the New York Rangers will win the Stanley Cup this June.  You will find readers from New Jersey, Phoenix and Los Angeles who also have confidence, but they do not share the confidence that I have.  

http://seamusoriley.blogspot.com.es/2012/05/pat-brown-on-becky-celis.html

Isabel Celis :CPS take A More Active Role.

CPS released the following statement to CBS 5 News on Friday.

The Department can confirm that CPS is working closely with law enforcement to ensure the continued safety of the children. At the present time, the children are not in CPS custody. The Department appreciates the community's support and understanding in protecting the privacy rights and safety needs for these children during this ongoing joint investigation.

During a news conference Thursday, Hawke said investigators are still sifting through 1,000 tips that have poured in since Isabel was last seen in her bedroom the night of April 20 and discovered missing the next morning.

Stay with cbs5az.com and CBS 5 News for updates on this developing story.

http://www.kpho.com/story/18328454/father-of-missing-isabel-can-have-no-contact-with-2-sons

Isabel Celis :Video - Is Isa's Father Involved In her Disappearance ?

http://abcnews.go.com/GMA/video/missing-arizona-girl-isabel-celis-father-involved-dissapearance-16341553

Lisa Irwin :Video - Cadaver Dog Hit In The Bedroom Of Lisa's Home.

Lisa Irwin Link

http://gerrymccannsblogs.co.uk/press/54oct11/FOX4_21_10_2011.htm


Madeleine McCann : Video

This video is the cadaver dog hits on the apartment , car, mothers clothing and a small t shirt possibly belonging to the missing child Madeleine McCann. In the McCann case there is also a missing sports bag belonging to the father, the father denies he ever owned such a bag even though there are witnesses who saw it in his possession the afternoon of May 3rd..